Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000725 0.000830 0.000940 0.001066 0.001205 0.001353 0.001522
2025-01-05 0.000562 0.000706 0.000870 0.001069 0.001301 0.001562 0.001877
2025-01-12 0.000467 0.000626 0.000815 0.001054 0.001345 0.001684 0.002105
2025-01-19 0.000391 0.000557 0.000764 0.001034 0.001374 0.001783 0.002305
2025-01-26 0.000351 0.000526 0.000752 0.001057 0.001451 0.001935 0.002568
2025-02-02 0.000316 0.000497 0.000738 0.001074 0.001519 0.002077 0.002819
2025-02-09 0.000275 0.000454 0.000702 0.001056 0.001538 0.002154 0.002989
2025-02-16 0.000238 0.000414 0.000665 0.001035 0.001548 0.002219 0.003141
2025-02-23 0.000217 0.000395 0.000655 0.001047 0.001603 0.002341 0.003370
2025-03-02 0.000197 0.000374 0.000642 0.001054 0.001649 0.002451 0.003585
2025-03-09 0.000171 0.000341 0.000606 0.001025 0.001642 0.002489 0.003702
2025-03-16 0.000148 0.000310 0.000571 0.000995 0.001632 0.002520 0.003810
2025-03-23 0.000133 0.000291 0.000555 0.000992 0.001662 0.002608 0.003998
2025-03-30 0.000119 0.000274 0.000540 0.000991 0.001693 0.002699 0.004194
2025-04-06 0.000106 0.000255 0.000520 0.000979 0.001706 0.002763 0.004353
2025-04-13 0.000092 0.000235 0.000496 0.000959 0.001707 0.002809 0.004486
2025-04-20 0.000087 0.000230 0.000497 0.000980 0.001771 0.002948 0.004753
2025-04-27 0.000081 0.000223 0.000496 0.000997 0.001828 0.003078 0.005010
2025-05-04 0.000071 0.000207 0.000475 0.000980 0.001831 0.003126 0.005148
2025-05-11 0.000062 0.000191 0.000454 0.000960 0.001827 0.003163 0.005270
2025-05-18 0.000058 0.000185 0.000451 0.000971 0.001875 0.003280 0.005511
2025-05-25 0.000053 0.000177 0.000445 0.000978 0.001914 0.003384 0.005736
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000162 0.000422 0.000951 0.001896 0.003397 0.005823